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ResearchMacro and Policy

Two Eras at the CBN: Emefiele and Cardoso in Numbers

Rates, inflation, FX and reserves compared across both governorships.

Summary

[Your conclusion in two short paragraphs. Lead with the finding, not the background.]

Data and Method

[Which series you used, the period for each governorship, and how you measured each variable. State any adjustments.]

Policy Rate and Inflation

[Compare the monetary policy rate, headline inflation and the resulting real rate across both periods.]

Policy Rate and Headline Inflation

SAMPLE DATA: illustrative values only. Replace with CBN and NBS series.

Source: [Central Bank of Nigeria; National Bureau of Statistics]

View the data
YearMonetary Policy RateHeadline Inflation
201710%14%
201811%13%
201912%12%
202012%14%
202113%16%
202215%19%
202318%24%
202422%30%
202524%26%
Measure Emefiele Era Cardoso Era
Average MPR [x]% [x]%
Average Headline Inflation [x]% [x]%
Average Real Policy Rate [x]% [x]%

Exchange Rate and Reserves

[Compare the official and parallel rates, the spread between them, and gross external reserves.]

What It Means for Valuations

[Translate the macro picture into the inputs an analyst uses: the risk-free rate, cost of capital and FX assumptions in a DCF.]

Sources

Central Bank of Nigeria statistical bulletins and MPC communiqués; National Bureau of Statistics CPI releases, [periods].