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ResearchInitiation Note

Seplat Energy: Initiation of Coverage

A three-statement model, DCF and peer multiples, with the key risks to the call set out.

Investment Summary

[Two or three short paragraphs. State your view first, then the value range and the two or three reasons behind it. A reader who stops here should know your call and why.]

Company Overview

[What the company does, where its revenue comes from, and how it has changed in the last three years. Keep it to what matters for the valuation.]

Financial Performance

[Revenue, EBITDA margin, cash conversion and leverage over the last three to five years, drawn from the audited accounts. Explain the movements; do not just list them.]

Year Ended 31 December [Year 1] [Year 2] [Year 3]
Revenue (₦bn) [x] [x] [x]
EBITDA Margin [x]% [x]% [x]%
Net Debt / EBITDA [x]x [x]x [x]x

Valuation

[Explain each method, its weight and why. Show the bridge from enterprise value to equity value per share.]

Method Weight Value per Share (₦)
Discounted Cash Flow [x]% [x]
EV/EBITDA (Peers) [x]% [x]
Blended Value 100% [x]

Key Assumptions

[Production, oil price, FX, capex and WACC inputs, each with its source and a sensitivity range.]

Key Risks

  • [Risk One]: [How it would affect the value, and by roughly how much.]
  • [Risk Two]: [How it would affect the value.]
  • [Risk Three]: [How it would affect the value.]

Sources

All company figures are from Seplat Energy Plc audited financial statements filed with the Nigerian Exchange, [years]. Market data as at [date].